Probability

Lesson

Let's look at the *likelihood* of events occurring. Sometimes we might call likelihood the *chance* of events occurring, or the *probability* of events occurring.

We will be using $5$5 key words to describe the likelihood of events occurring:

- Impossible
- Impossible means an event will DEFINITELY not happen.
- An example of an impossible event is to roll a $7$7 on a regular die.

- Unlikely
- Unlikely means an event could happen, but probably won't.
- An example of an Unlikely event is wining the lottery.

- Even Chance
- Even Chance means an event will happen as often as it doesn't happen.
- An example of an event with an even chance is flipping a coin. It is equally likely that it will land on a head or a tail.

- Likely
- Likely means an event is more likely to happen than not to happen.
- An example of a likely event is it will likely rain if there are already storm clouds in the sky.

- Certain
- Certain means an event will DEFINITELY happen.
- An example of a certain event is that if today is Thursday, it is certain that tomorrow will be Friday.

We can put these words on a scale. An event which is impossible is at one end of the scale. At the opposite end of the scale, is an event which is certain of happening. In the middle are the events that have an even chance of happening.

Look at this video to learn the key words for describing likelihood.

What is the chance of flipping tails with a coin?

Impossible

ALikely

BUnlikely

CEven chance

DCertain

EImpossible

ALikely

BUnlikely

CEven chance

DCertain

E

A game in a classroom uses this spinner.

What is the chance of spinning an odd number?

certain

Aeven chance

Bimpossible

Clikely

Dcertain

Aeven chance

Bimpossible

Clikely

DWhat is the chance of spinning a $2$2?

likely

Aimpossible

Bcertain

Ceven chance

Dlikely

Aimpossible

Bcertain

Ceven chance

DWhat is the chance of spinning a number less than $8$8?

likely

Aimpossible

Beven chance

Ccertain

Dlikely

Aimpossible

Beven chance

Ccertain

D

In a drawer, there are $6$6 pairs of new socks and $5$5 pairs of socks with holes in them.

If a random pair of socks is selected, is it more, less or equally likely that you will select a pair of socks with holes in it?

More likely

AEqually likely

BLess likely

CMore likely

AEqually likely

BLess likely

C