A correlation is a way of expressing a relationship between two variables and, more specifically, how strongly pairs of data are related. We describe the correlation from data using language like positive correlation, negative correlation or no correlation. We can even further strengthen the language by using strong or weak.
Just because two variables correlate, even to a high degree, it does not imply that one causes the other. For example, there is a high degree of correlation between height and stride length. However, it doesn't mean that if you take big steps you'll grow taller!
Linear patterns reveal whether or not two measurements are connected to each other. In other words, the presence of a linear pattern signals that the two sets of data correlate. One way of understanding these relationships is by plotting ordered pairs onto a scatterplot. This makes it easier to recognise patterns in the data, especially whether or not these patterns appear to be linear.
This linear relationship can be seen through close and consistent grouping in a scatterplot. The more closely the dots resemble a straight line, the stronger the correlation between the variables.
A positive correlation is when the data appears to gather in a positive relationship. Similar to a straight line with a positive slope.
In other words, as one variable increases, the other variables also increases.
There are three types of positive correlation:
For example, the scatterplot below shows a strong positive correlation between a person's height and arm span. You can see that as the first variable increases, the second increases too.
A negative correlation is when the data appears to gather in a negative relationship. Similar to a straight line with a negative slope.
In other words, as one variable increases, the other one decreases.
Like positive correlation, there are three types of negative correlation:
The next scatterplot shows a strong negative correlation. You can see that as the first variable increases, the second variable decreases.
No correlation is when there is no relationship between the variables.
This means that there is a random or nonlinear relationship between the two sets of data.
Identify the type of correlation in the following scatter plot.
Think: If we drew a straight line through the points, what value would be close to the slope?
Do: The correlation has a slope close to $1$1, so this is a strong positive correlation.
Consider the two variables: eye colour and IQ. Do you think there is a relationship between them?
Think: Do you think a person's eye colour has anything to do with their IQ?
Do: No there is no relationship between them?
The following table shows the number of traffic accidents associated with a sample of drivers of different age groups.
Age | Accidents |
---|---|
$20$20 | $41$41 |
$25$25 | $44$44 |
$30$30 | $39$39 |
$35$35 | $34$34 |
$40$40 | $30$30 |
$45$45 | $25$25 |
$50$50 | $22$22 |
$55$55 | $18$18 |
$60$60 | $19$19 |
$65$65 | $17$17 |
Which of the following scatter plots correctly represents the above data?
Is the correlation between a person's age and the number of accidents they are involved in positive or negative?
Positive
Negative
Is the correlation between a person's age and the number of accidents they are involved in strong or weak?
Strong
Weak
Which age group's data represent an outlier?
30-year-olds
None of them
65-year-olds
20-year-olds
Consider the table of values that show four excerpts from a database comparing the income per capita of a country and the child mortality rate of the country. If a scatter plot was created from the entire database, what relationship would you expect it to have?
Income per capita | Child Mortality rate |
---|---|
$1465$1465 | $67$67 |
$11428$11428 | $16$16 |
$2621$2621 | $35$35 |
$32468$32468 | $9$9 |
Strongly positive
No relationship
Strongly negative
As we have seen, a correlation is a way of expressing a relationship between two variables and, more specifically, how strongly pairs of data are related. We can measure this mathematically by looking at the correlation coefficient ($r$r). The correlation coefficient is a number between $-1$−1 and $+1$+1. It is similar to the slope of a straight line and once the correlation coefficient is calculated, we can more accurately determine whether there is positive correlation, negative correlation or no correlation.
There are three types of positive correlation:
Like positive correlation, there are three types of negative correlation:
No correlation is when $r$r is close or equal to $0$0.
In other words, there is no relationship between the variables.
This means that there is a random or nonlinear relationship between the two sets of data.
If there are no linear relationships between two sets of data then the scatterplot shows a more random distribution. In other words, when there is no correlation (ie. $r=0$r=0), the dots in a scatterplot will be all over the place.