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10.05 Applications of confidence intervals

Interactive practice questions

A random survey was conducted to estimate the proportion of people who favoured reading using an e-reader over a standard book. It was found that $286$286 out of $419$419 people surveyed preferred the e-reader.

a

Determine the sample proportion $\hat{p}$^p of those in the survey who preferred to use an e-reader.

b

Working with a two-sided confidence interval of $90%$90%, estimate the minimum sample size necessary to ensure a margin of error of at most $0.05$0.05 if the sample proportion remains the same.

c

Using the sample proportion $\hat{p}$^p from the initial survey, the $95%$95% confidence interval for $p$p is $0.64\le\hat{p}\le0.72$0.64^p0.72.

Considering this interval, which of the following surveys are more likely to be representative of the total population?

A random sample of $79$79 at a book store found that $31$31 had a preference for e-readers.

A

A random sample of $365$365 at an inner city park found that $256$256 had a preference for e-readers.

B
Medium
1min

In a sample of $350$350 people, it is found that only $1$1 has blood type B-negative.

Medium
3min

Jimmy works on the top floor of a $50$50 storey building. The probability that the elevator will stop at another floor on its way up to his office is $p$p.

Jimmy has decided to test this probability by noting the outcome for every one of the $236$236 working days of the year, over five years. He records a $1$1 if the elevator does stop, and a $0$0 if it doesn't stop.

The average outcome for each year is shown in the table below.

Medium
2min

$30$30 hamburger patties advertised as being $180$180 g are weighed and the results are tabulated.

Medium
2min
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Outcomes

4.5.3.2

use the approximate confidence interval [ ˆp-√(ˆp(1−ˆp)/n, ˆp+z√(ˆp(1−ˆp)/n), as an interval estimate for p, where z is the appropriate quantile for the standard normal distribution

4.5.3.3

define the approximate margin of error E=z√(ˆp (1−ˆp)/n and understand the trade-off between margin of error and level of confidence

4.5.3.4

use simulation to illustrate variations in confidence intervals between samples and to show that most but not all confidence intervals contain p

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